RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (ex IBD/TIPP) in United States

TechnoMetrica Institute of Policy and Politics (TIPP) · Monthly · Importance

46.8 (Oct-26) ABS · index · Monthly · CSV

Recessions COVID recession

Period	index
Oct 2026	46.8
Sep 2026	45.6
Aug 2026	45.1
Jul 2026	45.5
Jun 2026	42.5
May 2026	42.6
Apr 2026	42.8
Mar 2026	47.5
Dec 2025	47.9
Nov 2025	43.9
Oct 2025	48.3
Sep 2025	48.7
Aug 2025	50.9
Jul 2025	48.6
Jun 2025	49.2
May 2025	47.9
Apr 2025	49.1
Mar 2025	49.8
Feb 2025	52.0
Jan 2025	51.9
Dec 2024	54.0
Nov 2024	53.2
Oct 2024	46.9
Sep 2024	46.1
Aug 2024	44.5
Jul 2024	44.2
Jun 2024	40.5
May 2024	41.8
Jan 2024	44.7
Dec 2023	40.0

Period	index
Oct 2026	1.2

Period	index
Oct 2026	-1.5

About this indicator

Source

TechnoMetrica / RealClearMarkets

Frequency

Monthly

Release

First Tuesday of the month (annual calendar published by TechnoMetrica), 10:00 ET (14:00/15:00 UTC)

What it is

The RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index (formerly IBD/TIPP) is the first monthly reading of US consumer confidence. It is compiled by TechnoMetrica from a survey of around 1,300 adults: a reading above 50 signals optimism and below 50, pessimism.

How it's calculated

It is the average of three sub-indices: the six-month economic outlook, personal financial prospects and confidence in federal economic policy.

Market implications

Released early in the month, it leads the University of Michigan and Conference Board confidence surveys for the same month, so the market uses it as an early read on the mood of the US consumer.

Limitations

It has a smaller sample than the Michigan or Conference Board surveys and greater sensitivity to respondents' partisan bias; its market impact is usually limited.